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Forecasting sales...how do you do it
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drg     Reply with quote
How do Sales Analysts forecast?

What are some other things Sales Analysts do?
Star     Reply with quote
Sales forecasting can be quite the chore, especially when you're first starting out. Factors to consider include how long it takes to complete a sale after finding a new lead. For some products this can be minutes & with others it can be months. If u do not know for sure, u need to guess the best u can & then adjust as u collect data. Also, consider how many people u have doing sales. As u develop a feel for what an average person can do in a month, 100 people is that times 100.

Some people may try to tell u this is a highly scientific process but it is really not. However, by having some forecast, along with a rationale for how u came up with the numbers, u at least have something to aim for & u can continue to correct & refine over time.
Clone     Reply with quote
there r a number of techniques for forcasting sales volume. overall, the more data u have, the better ur forecasts will be.

the most important piece of data is previous sales-the best indicator of how much u will sell is how much u have sold. the more history the better-depending on how far forward u r forecasting.

you should also know about market conditions in the industry-is the market growing or declining?

other things include competitive activity/growth & procing strategies-
if u plan on a price increase, u should have a pricing analysis done to determine the impact of the increase on sales.

these r some basics & the main concepts. others depend on the industry.

Generally, sales analysts analyze trends in sales, product performance, marketing & sales program impact. they look at data & information to support sales & marketing activities.
Doctor     Reply with quote
Depends on the product/service.
How is the industry trending that you're in will have an impact on whether ur going to be plus, minus, or even.Consider ur margins; u can guarantee sales increases by practically giving the goods away. Do u have a say in that part of the process?
What is ur staffing situation relative to sales? The bell curve shows that u have a top performer or 2, 3 or 4 bottom feeders, & everyone else will be in the middle somewhere. Your top performers historically wo not be able to produce larger %s of sales growth so figure their comp increases to be lower. Step everyone else up a few points over that top performers figure. Not knowing if u have to forecast sales for a distribution operation, stores, regional sales people, or on-line l can only respond generally.
Review the previous years activities. Do u need to forecast against a previous years BIG blowout sale? Factor that in to ur forecast for that period of time also so u do not fall short that month compared to the previous year. Did u lose a sales person, maybe a top performer? Another consideration to keep in mind. Get with ur marketing department & get a history of ad events that were run for the previous year also & put those anniversary dates in ur forecast so u will be able to explain why there were spikes in the previous years' selling activity.
Hopefully l did not put u to sleep with all of this.
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